The Premise of Middles in Sports Betting

The concept behind middles is completely different than the theory of arbitrage even though both will have you betting on each team in a particular game. The The Concept of Arbitrage has you making a bet on each team and you are guaranteed a small profit on your wager, usually several cents for each dollar wagered. The premise behind a middle is risking a little to win a lot, as middles do come with some element of risk.

When you bet a middle, you are making a point spread wager and will take each team at the most advantageous line. For an example, say Bet DSI has Florida State -34 over North Carolina and WagerWeb has Florida State -36, the potential for a middle is there.

If you bet $550 on Florida State -34 at Bet DSI and $550 on North Carolina+ +36 at Carbon Sports, there are basically five different outcomes. The first two are simple enough; either Florida State wins by 37 or more and covers both or Florida State wins by less than 33, or loses outright, in which case North Carolina would have covered the spread at both sportsbooks. When either of these occur, you will win $500 from one sportsbook and lose $550 to another, giving you a loss of $50 for your middle attempt.

If Florida State were to win by 34 points, you would push your Seminoles wager at Bet DSI and win your North Carolina wager at WagerWeb and show a $500 profit, while if Florida State were to win by 36, you would win your wager at Bet DSI and push your bet at WagerWeb for another $500 profit. Ideally, Florida State would win by exactly 35 points and you would win both wagers for a $1,000 profit.

Since you are only risking $50, you're basically trying for a 10-to-1 shot, which occurs when you win one bet and push the other and make a $500 profit, or a 20-to-1 shot, which occurs when you win both sides of the game.

Middle opportunities typically occur most often in college sports, as the lines tend to fluctuate a bit a bit more than they do in pro sports. You'll also find middling opportunities in totals, not just sides.

It seems as though oddsmakers are getting smarter as time goes on and more games are landing close to the point spread, which is exactly what somebody who bets middles wants to see, as that increases their chances of being able to cash both tickets, even if one is a refund for a push.

Finding middles simply involves checking the lines at the different sportsbooks you have accounts at, and in this case, the more outs you have, the more likely you are to find opportunities to bet middles.


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